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Forrester Research’s Stephen Powers just released their report “Web Content Management And Open Source“.

As organizations embark on next-generation Web content management (WCM) initiatives, they want to avoid the mistakes made in earlier, more costly WCM projects. As a result, information and knowledge management professionals increasingly show an interest in open source WCM as a way of controlling software costs and increasing their access to product-specific expertise in the marketplace.

Later on Powers concludes that only Alfresco and Drupal have a satisfactory product offering, proven enterprise-level implementations, and a large — and passionate — community of developers and service providers.

This IDC study contains a five-year forecast for worldwide revenue from standalone open source software.

“Revenue from standalone open source software is growing significantly,” said Matt Lawton, program director of IDC’s Open Source Software Business Strategies research program. “This is particularly important for independent vendors of open source software. However, we need to also provide some context. Standalone open source software is an important but small segment of open source software. Large vendors are realizing significant revenues indirectly from their activities with and support of embedded and complementary open source software. In addition, unpaid open source software adoption is significant but not included in our revenue estimates.”

Seth has published an Open Source Java CMS Report. It evaluates seven open source Java WCM systems: Alfresco, Apache Lenya, Daisy, Hippo, Jahia, Magnolia, and OpenCMS.

As in his previous report Content Management Problems and Open Source Solutions written still at Optaros, Seth takes the approach of positioning each project in categories of use where it typically excels. The projects described in the the new Java report all fall into two categories: Informational Brochure and Web Content Management (WCM) Platform.
There is also a discussion of the overall web content management marketplace and how open source software fits in.

Check it out on Seth’s website.

In a recent press release IDC states that the

IT market has been reshaped by a handful of key disruptions – online delivery, community-based development, solution-oriented packaging, and emerging markets.” These disruptions, which started at the margins, gained momentum in 2007 with the rise of everything-as-a-service, Web 2.0 applications, open development communities, “free IT” funding models, and the emergence of non-traditional competitors like Google, YouTube, and Facebook. These developments set the stage for what IDC believes will become the Post-Disruption Marketplace.

This said, they predict (among others):

* Market Leaders Embrace Online Delivery Models. The IT industry’s market leaders will dramatically increase the migration of core offerings – applications, business intelligence, servers, storage, imaging, printing, etc. – to online delivery models as a key method for profitably serving high-growth markets, particularly SMBs.

* “Web Gadgets” Will Further Extend the Internet. Following in the footsteps of Apple’s iTouch and Amazon’s Kindle, a new class of devices will fill the gap between notebook PCs and smartphones. These will radically change the online marketplace, including fueling the acceleration of location-based services.

* Mobile Networks Will Open Up. Faced with mounting pressure from Web gadgets and open development efforts such as Google’s Android and the Open Handset Alliance, mobile network operators will begrudgingly begin to open up their networks to any device and any application.

* Software Will Emerge to Tame Social Networking’s “Cacophony of the Crowds.” The sudden expansion of social networking will lead to a tsunami of unstructured data. This will lead to the emergence of “Eureka 2.0″ software that combines text analytics, sentiment extraction, and related technologies to distill the “wisdom of crowds.”

What took them so long to figure that out?